Technology Forecast 2013

I am an avid follower of everything technology and trends, but am tired of hearing about cloud, mobile, and social computing.

It’s time to get over it with the agenda of the past and get on with it with the future of technology.

Here is my “Technology Forecast 2013” with the top 8 trends I see going forward:

1) Service Provision–Cost-cutting and consolidation into the cloud is a wonderful idea and it has had it’s time, but the future will follow consumer products, where one flavor does not fit all, and we need to have globalization with a local flavor to provide for distinct customer requirements and service differentiators, as well as classified, proprietary and private systems and information.

2) Service Delivery–Mobile is here and the iPhone is supreme, but the future belongs to those that deliver services not only to remote devices, but in wearable, implantable, and even human augmentation.

3) Human Interaction–Social computing epitomized by Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, and many more is a cool way in interact with others virtually, but wall posts, email, and chats are getting cliche–next up conjoining with others with capabilities such as telepathic communication, mind melding collaboration, and even virtual sex for the outlandish.

4) Robotics and Artificial Intelligence–With something like 10,000 drones flying the friendly and not-so friendly skies and even drones that autonomously land on aircraft carriers, the next robot is coming to the ground near you–drones will become (an)droids and will eventually have the AI to become part of our everyday society.

5) Service Assurance–Enough playing defense with a sprinkling of offense against our worst enemies–it’s past time to move from trying to stop-gap infiltrators and do damage control once we’ve been robbed blind, and instead move to a hunter-killer mentality and capability–the price of being a bad boy on the Internet goes way up and happens in realtime.

6) Data Analytics–Big data isn’t a solution, it’s the problem. The solution is not snapshot pretty graphics, but realtime augmented reality–where data is ingrained in everything and transparent realtime–and this becomes part of our moment-by-moment decision processes.

7) Biotechnology–Biometrics sounds real cool–and you get a free palm reading at the same time, but the real game changer here is not reading people’s bio signatures, but in creating new ones–with not only medical cures, but also new bio-technological capabilities.

8) Nanotechnology–Still emerging, quantum mechanics is helping us delve into the mysteries of the universe, with applications for new and advanced materials, but the new buzzword will be nano-dust, where atomic and molecular building blocks can be used on-the-fly to build anything, be anywhere, and then recycled into the next use.

Overall, I see us moving from mass produced, point-to-point solutions to more integrated end-to-end solutions that fit individual needs–whether through continued combinations of hardware, software, and services, man-machine interfaces/integration, and building blocks that can be shaped and reused again and again.

From my perspective, there a seeming lull in innovation, but the next big leap is around the corner.

What do you see as the top IT trends for 2013 and beyond?

Originally posted at my Total CIO | Andy Blumenthal blog at http://www.andyblumenthal.com.

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Chris Cairns

Great post! I’m in the same boat — can’t wait to stop hearing about cloud, big data, etc. I’m also tech trend enthusiast, but think you’re timeline is a little aggressive. As they say in emerging tech circles, we tend to overestimate the time, but underestimate the impact.

Chris Cairns

One tech trend I would add to the list is Virtual Reality. Sure, it’s been around forever, but I think we’ll begin to see the impact it can have.

Andy Blumenthal

@Chris That’s a great point about the aggressive timeline–I’m looking at 2013 as more of the starting point, not the finale or maybe I’m just an optimist.

David B. Grinberg

Absolutely awesome post, Andy! Being a fan of theoretical physics and the like, I especially liked the part about quantum mechanics — which most folks may not know is revolutionizing our world.

So how long will it take, in your estimation, for the great sciene innovators to solve Albert Einstein’s dream for “The Theory of Everything”?

As you probably know, he unsuccessfully worked on a mathematical formula and equations to prove such a theory — which would seemlessly unify the laws of physics and quantum mechanics — up and until his death (literally on his hospital death bed). No pressure here, but what’s your best guess?

Chris Cairns

Andy, I know you’re a busy guy, but I’d love to see a follow-up post on how you think Quantum Mechanics is changing IT as we know it.

Andy Blumenthal
@Chris Prof. Ian Bindloss at UCLA has a post on the little-known ways that quantum physics has shaped the world as we know it today – in fact “The electronic digital computer, the transistor, the laser, and even the World Wide Web were all invented by physicists.” (http://www.physics.ucla.edu/~ianb/history/) Definitely something to write about, time permitting.
Andy Blumenthal
@David Interesting question about the theory that physical phenomena are all linked (the “Theory of Everything”). Although science and technology are advancing very rapidly, I don’t think G-d wants or will let people assume total control over the universe by knowing all its mysteries, including the mystery of how everything is connected. This is nothing new, it goes back to the Tower of Babel in the Bible and the desire of people to use technology (i.e. build a tower) to show their greatness.Maybe if we can stop being arrogant and commit to using technology for the good, then G-d will let us have access to the kind of knowledge that Einstein and others have been striving for.
Katie Bromley

While cloud, mobile, and social computing aren’t going away, I appreciate a forward looking post on tech trends. Thanks!